The former Home Secretary, Suella Braverman, is considering a defection to Nigel Farage's Reform UK party, according to sources. This potential move comes amidst uncertainty about her support within the Conservative Party as she eyes the leadership contest. Sources suggest that if her leadership bid fails, she may switch to Reform UK, likely around the party conference in the autumn.

Leadership Contest Dynamics

Braverman faces competition from other figures like Priti Patel, James Cleverly, Kemi Badenoch, Robert Jenrick, and Tom Tugendhat. With growing antagonism towards her among left-leaning Tory MPs, her prospects within the "small c" Conservative party appear bleak. Reform MPs and sources have repeatedly indicated that Braverman would fit well with their agenda, suggesting her views align more closely with theirs.

Internal and External Reactions

Her potential defection highlights internal divisions within the Conservative Party. Long-time supporter Sir John Hayes is reportedly considering backing Robert Jenrick instead. Some senior Conservatives believe Braverman's recent positions, particularly on homelessness and LGBTQ+ flags, have alienated one half of the party.

Broader Implications

Robert Jenrick has expressed concerns that the Conservative Party's current trajectory might lead to further decline unless serious reforms are undertaken. He criticised the party's handling of immigration and warned of potential historical insignificance if changes are not made.

Conclusion

Braverman’s potential move to Reform UK signals a significant shift in the political landscape, reflecting broader discontent within the Conservative Party. As the leadership contest unfolds, her decisions will be closely watched, impacting both her political future and the dynamics within UK politics.